Lyn Jones believes London Welsh will need at least 32 points to stay in the Aviva Premiership.
The Exiles’ head coach says that means they will need to win two or more of their remaining seven matches.
And a glance through previous season’s Premiership tables suggests such a target is about par. Wasps stayed in the top flight with 33 points last year, while 23 was enough for Newcastle to stay up in the 2010-11 season.
In the six seasons before that 29, 18, 13, 34, 29 and 39 points did the job. “It is difficult to say what we will need to stay up,” said Jones.
“We know that we have got to be looking at about 32 points. “That means that we have got to win at least another two games.
“We had a little bit of good fortune earlier in the season and it has gone against us recently.
“We just need to concentrate on what we are doing.” Jones admitted Sunday’s home defeat to Sale had been a big blow, especially after leading 25-20.
“We were pretty down to be honest,” he said. “It has taken a little bit of work to get them back up. “On Monday morning, everybody was a bit flat.”
But he stressed: “There was a lot of good in our game. “We were happy to score 25 points, but pretty disappointed to concede 26, especially with the penalties.”
Jones’s motivational powers and man management have been key to Welsh’s success in being competitive in the Premeirship.
And despite being in a relegation battle, Jones is determined to keep his players enjoying their work.
“We’ll take each one as it comes,” he said.
“If we don’t enjoy it, the pressure will only increase and we don’t want that.”
Jones had almost a full squad to select from for today’s match, but confirmed wing Dan Caprice could miss the rest of the season with a hip flexor injury.
Centre Hudson Tonga’uiha is “50-50” to play again this campaign as he recovers from a dislocated shoulder.